|Last 10 Minutes||96.04||—|
|Last 30 Minutes||96.04||—|
|Last 10 Minutes||4.11||0.05
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Live Betting Odds Data - 2020 US President
|All||2020-11-24 23:15:00||4.16||96.04||Biden +91.88|
|Betfair||2020-11-24 23:16:00||3.4||96.6||Biden +93.2|
|PredictIt||2020-11-24 23:15:00||11.0||91.0||Biden +80.0|
Total Bet over $ 1,315,678,791
Odds and amount wagered are calculated using our aggregated weighted index of odds offered by Betfair, Betway and Predict It.
Last Updated: 2020-11-24 23:15:28 PDT
Odds are updated every minute.
Latest US Election Odds News for November 2020:
We are closing in on two weeks since Election Day, and President Donald Trump has yet to concede defeat. All states have reported their results, giving President-Elect Biden a 306-232 electoral college lead. Interestingly, it’s the exact same margin Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by in 2016, which he repeatedly boasted was “a landslide.”
Besides just being a sore loser, the Trump administration has been dragging its feet on giving Biden and Vice President-Elect Kamala Harris access to key intelligence briefings to ensure a seamless transition. This move has been condemned by current and former intelligence officials, who noted the 37-day period in 2000 between Election Day and George W. Bush being declared the winner, and the subsequent delay in starting the transition, was partly to blame for the Sept. 11 attacks.
Meanwhile, Trump and his supporters continue to claim totally unsubstantiated and unproven claims of widespread voter fraud, despite the President’s many lawsuits being dismissed in every state he’s attempted them in. It’s clear at this point Biden’s margin of victory in states he flipped from red to blue in 2020 is too wide to be closed by a simple recount, so Trump’s strategy has been to undermine the nation’s faith in the democratic process. Considering more than 72 million Americans voted for Trump, this could have dangerous ramifications if a plurality of them ever refuse to accept the election results.
Make no mistake: This election is over. At noon on Jan. 20, Joseph Biden will be sworn in as the 46th President of the United States. Despite this, sitting Republican lawmakers have been afraid to go against Trump by even acknowledging the results, anticipating a pair of runoff Senate elections in Georgia in early January that could decide which party controls the U.S. Senate. Their fear is an early indication that even though Trump handily lost the 2020 US presidential election, he and his family will continue to have significant sway over the Republican party going forward. Trump has even floated a potential 2024 run.
America has spoken, and Joe Biden is the new President-Elect of the United States. Biden crested the 270 electoral votes mark on Saturday, Nov. 7 when Pennsylvania was called for the former Vice President, while President Trump remains at 214.
As of this writing, four states remain undecided: Alaska, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. North Carolina and Alaska are leaning Trump, while Arizona and Georgia are both leaning Biden. Should the states play out as they’re indicating, Biden would have 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232. It’s worth noting that several news outlets, including AP and Fox News, already called Arizona for Biden the day after Election Day.
The Trump campaign is waging numerous legal challenges to the results, and the incumbent and his surrogates have been steadily taking to the airwaves to denounce the results as a fraud. This despite none of the accusers so far producing any evidence whatsoever of widespread voter fraud. Needless to say, Trump has not conceded the race, or even spoken to President-Elect Biden, as has been tradition in the past. Few if any sitting Republican lawmakers have even acknowledged Biden’s win.
For his part, President-Elect Biden has already begun preparing his administration’s coronavirus task force. With cases surging to new highs every day, he is leveraging all available resources to ensure the administration can hit the ground running in January. In the meantime, the US is pretty much on its own, with President Trump’s coronavirus task force holding no meetings for months, even as the new daily case count has surged to well over 100,000.
The votes have been cast, and the presidency still hangs in the balance the morning after Election Day. Hopes of an overwhelming “blue wave” never materialized, and most of the races called last night were unsurprising.
Trump captured the key electoral prizes of Florida and Ohio, but the race will be decided with a handful of battleground states that have yet to be called. This chiefly includes Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, but Arizona and North Carolina also remain to be decided. Trump declared himself the winner early Wednesday morning, despite millions of absentee and mail-in ballots yet to be counted, but news networks including Trump-friendly Fox News strongly rebuffed his claim.
Hopes the Democrats would wrest control of the US Senate away from Republicans are fading fast, and key Senate races will see some high-profile Republicans remain in their jobs. Lindsey Graham, facing a well-monied challenger in Jaime Harrison in South Carolina, wound up winning his race by double digits. In Kentucky, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell fended off a challenge from Amy McGrath, winning a seventh term. The Democrats did manage to flip at least two Republican held seats — in Colorado former Gov. John Hickenlooper defeated Republican incumbent Cory Gardner, and in Arizona the Associated Press has called the U.S. Senate race for Democrat Mark Kelly over Republican Martha McSally. In Alabama, Democratic incumbent Doug Jones lost his race to Tommy Tuberville, a pick-up for the Republicans.
With so much of the vote still outstanding, anything can still happen. The Bonus.com 2020 US Presidential Election Tracker swung wildly at times last night, but the momentum now among overseas election bettors is all Biden, who sits at better than 62% odds to be the winner when the dust settles.
It’s been a long time coming, but we are finally on the eve of the 2020 US Presidential Election. Both candidates have been aggressively campaigning in key swing states in the final days, and FiveThirtyEight’s aggregate of national polls have former Vice President Joe Biden leading by 8.4% as of this writing.
Trump’s closing argument has included ramping up attacks on US doctors and scientists, claiming baselessly at a recent rally that doctors profit from increased diagnoses of COVID-19. He’s also continued pushing a conspiracy theory involving his son Hunter’s laptop and shady ties to foreign leaders, a conspiracy that has been debunked and discredited repeatedly.
What’s very real, however, is a number of troubling recent incidents involving Trump supporters. This weekend in Texas, a group of pick-up trucks clad with Trump and American flags surrounded a Biden-Harris campaign bus on Interstate 35 as it made its way to a last-minute campaign rally. The FBI is investigating the incident described by a Biden campaign official as attempting to slow the bus down and run it off the road.
Trump, in characteristic disdain for the democratic process, tweeted his support of the incident with the caption “I LOVE TEXAS.”
Other, similar incidents with pro-Trump vehicle convoys have taken place across the country in the last week, with supporters causing a six-mile backup on New Jersey’s Garden State Parkway on Sunday. Meanwhile, Biden continues to host small, socially distanced campaign events where he continues to his his campaign messages of unity and order, not division and chaos.
2020 US presidential election odds coverage archive:
2020 US Presidential Election Odds
The 2020 US Presidential election is considered to be the most important election of modern times. A new normal to everyday life means a lot is at stake. Polling numbers are one way to predict just what will happen in November. The 2020 presidential election odds tells a different story.
When it comes to the odds to win the presidency, track the odds here. With up to the minute presidential bet odds bookmark this page and check back often.
How Odds On Elections Are Calculated
Presidential betting odds are calculated using an aggregated weighted index including numbers from:
- Betfair Exchange
Using the chart above you can view odds from all of them at once, weighted, or check an individual market. A betting exchange (Betfair Exchange, PredicIt) lets people bet against each other. The bookmaker (Betway) takes less risk but will take a small percentage of winnings.
Election betting is often referred to as “futures” because it is a wager on a specific, future event. Most election wagers are moneyline bets or straight bets. It’s a straight forward wager normally with no spread involved.
For a sporting event, you are bidding on which team will win. For betting on the presidential election, you are bidding on which candidate will win.
How Are The Presidential Election Betting Percentages Calculated
When comparing the presidential odds, a plus symbol means that the option is an underdog. The minus symbol means the option is a favorite to win.
For example, let’s say Trump’s election odds are -125. If you bet $125, you would win $100 and get back the $125 bet if he wins. On the other hand, what if the odds that Joe Biden will win the election are +135. If you bet $100 on Biden to win, you win $135 and get back the original $100 bet.
When the 2020 election odds are +135 that means oddsmakers give the Democrats a 42.55% chance of winning the election. The return on the wager is higher. This is because betting on the US presidential election underdog is seen as a more risky bet.
When Trump’s election odds are set at -125, presidential bet odds give Republicans a 55.56% chance of winning.
How Accurate Are The Betting Odds For The Election
As with any wager, it’s important to look at the sources of information that lead people to choose one bet or another. In this case, news coverage and election polling are common sources of information.
Prior to the 2016 election, people commonly trusted reliable polling numbers. That’s changed in the 2018 and 2020 elections.
So, how accurate are the betting odds? They change daily (and even hourly) based on peoples’ perceptions of who will win the election. The odds are volatile right now as each national and international event, and most importantly the government’s response to Coronavirus, affect the public’s perceptions of each candidate.
2020 Election Key Dates
Many of the key election dates are set months or years in advance. The calendar is in flux due to the effect of COVID-19 on large gatherings or in-person voting.
Several states postponed their Democratic primaries due to stay-at-home restrictions. Also, the primaries are now less influential because Vice President Joe Biden is the presumptive nominee for the Democratic Party.
Here are some of the key dates that could affect polling numbers for the 2020 US Presidential election:
- June 2 The last major multi-state primary day (Delaware, Indiana, Maryland, Montana, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, and Washington, D.C.)
- August 17-20: Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (Delayed from the original dates of July 13-16)
- August 24-27: Republican National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina
- September 29: Presidential debate in South Bend, Indiana (The nonpartisan Commission on Presidential Debates sponsors all presidential and vice-presidential debates.)
- October 7: The vice presidential debate in Salt Lake City, Utah
- October 15: Second presidential debate in Ann Arbor, Michigan
- October 22: Third and final presidential debate in Nashville, Tennessee
- November 3: U.S. Presidential Election
Can You Bet On The 2020 Election In The US?
Legal US online sports betting websites do not accept betting on presidential elections or any other political betting. We don’t see this situation changing before the 2020 election.
Although some events during April 2020 led election betters to believe this could be changing.
West Virginia Election Betting
The West Virginia Lottery briefly approved three sports betting companies to open election betting. With sports betting down and casinos closed due to the Coronavirus, the sports betting companies sought different avenues for revenue.
Governor Jim Justice quickly rescinded this approval. Election betting is illegal in West Virginia.
FAQs – U.S. Presidential Election Betting And Odds
The most common prop bet is simply who will win the election. It is also possible to wager on other results of the 2020 election. The political betting market includes who will win the popular vote, who will win the Electoral college, or who will control the U.S. House of Representatives.
No, due to restrictive regulations against political and election betting, sportsbooks won’t take an election bet. When Nevada state set the regulations for sports betting in 1985, they restricted betting to professional sports. Over the years, Nevada loosened the rules to include college sports and the Olympics. Despite that, the state still does not allow for election betting. There is still talk of Vegas presidential odds, though. Some of the top oddsmakers in Vegas are offering their predictions. They are posting lines, just like they would for other non-sports events, like the Oscars. Although they are prohibited from taking bets, it’s more of a marketing gimmick, for entertainment purposes only.
Peoples’ perceptions of the likelihood of an outcome affect the percentages daily, and even hourly. News and current events affect peoples’ perceptions, particularly in a volatile and ever-changing news cycle.
In the past, endorsements were a key indicator of the eventual nominee and election winner. The 2016 election, though, ended that trend. That said, endorsements can indicate how an elected official will turn out the vote in their jurisdiction. (FiveThirtyEight?)
Polling data can provide a good indicator of the likely outcome of an election. These are, of course, polls and not results and should be taken with a grain of salt. The 2016 election resulted in some of the most traditionally reliable polls being totally off base. Some of the most well-respected polls for US election monitoring are RealClear Politics and FiveThirtyEight.
The odds markets continue to take into consideration unlikely candidates. For now, this still includes Senator Bernie Sanders but also includes the odds of candidates like Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Vice President Mike Pence, or Governor Andrew Cuomo becoming president – all long-shot candidates.