About the Author

Chris Gerlacher

Christopher is a sports betting enthusiast and online gaming expert from Colorado Springs.

Latest articles

Do Events Like The Texas Elementary School Shooting Change The Midterms?

May 25, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

On May 24, an 18-year-old killed 19 elementary school students and two adults in Uvalde, Texas. AP News reports that this is the deadliest school shooting since the 2012 Sandy Hook Elementary shooting, where 20 children and six adults were killed. This latest tragedy has sparked renewed calls for federal gun control regulations. However, PredictIt’s […]

Why The Roe v. Wade Leak Won’t Change Midterms Predictions

May 19, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

On May 2, Politico reported a leaked Supreme Court majority opinion draft that would overturn the landmark Roe v. Wade case. If it were overturned, each state would vote on whether to allow abortion and what conditions, if any, would apply to abortion. The federal right to get an abortion in each state would be […]

How Election Betting Odds Used To Act As Presidential Election Polls 

May 12, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

Today, we take the polling data plastered across news channels for granted. These polls are scientific polls, a type of polling that relies on statistics to draw accurate conclusions about a big group from a small group. However, scientific polling only became popular to report on in the 1940s. Before then, election betting odds were […]

How The Difference Between Democrats And Republicans Has Changed 

May 6, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

Successful political bettors are impartial. They don’t let the most outrageous news stories affect their bets. One easy exercise novice political bettors can do to develop this discipline is to catch officials who treat historical differences between Democrats and Republicans as if they’re accurate. For example, in the wake of racist tweets by President Donald […]

Why Roe v. Wade Draft Leak Moved PredictIt Markets 

May 4, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

On Monday, May 2, Politico reported a leaked Supreme Court opinion that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The leaked draft opinion would overturn Roe v. Wade, eliminating federal protections for abortion. It would also overturn Planned Parenthood v. Casey, a 1992 ruling that affirmed Roe v. Wade. The Roe v. Wade draft leak is actually […]

Why The Presidential Approval Rating Isn’t Affected By Speeches 

April 28, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

On March 1, 2022, President Biden gave his State of the Union address. That same day, PredictIt’s balance of power for the midterms remained almost the same as the day before. The day after Biden’s State of the Union the odds were virtually the same too. Aside from a few one-cent movements, PredictIt users favored […]

How To Catch Causes Of Political Change Before The Media 

April 21, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

Political bettors who can catch on to the causes of political change before those changes show up in poll results can get a big win for themselves. Political and social change can be hard to catch before it shows up at the ballot box. But the signs of early transformations are on the ground for […]

How Presidential Election Predictions Can Go Horribly Wrong

April 19, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

Political bettors may flock to Nate Silver’s site or see how Alan Lichtman’s 13 keys align during a presidential election. But no matter how you approach presidential election predictions, the process involves a year-and-a-half of tension that begins when early candidates announce their campaigns — and runs high through the primaries and general election. But […]

Why Sportsbook Odds Aren’t An Election Prediction Formula 

April 11, 2022 | By: Chris Gerlacher

The myth that all crowds are equally wise needs to die. But the former president claiming that sportsbook odds predicted his win is a whole new level of terrible. It brings the worst misunderstandings about the wisdom of crowds to an already toxic political environment. So, once and for all, it’s time to kill the […]