About the Author
Chris Gerlacher
Latest articles
Why Gavin Newsom Presidential Odds Appeared on PredictIt
On July 22, 2022, Gavin Newsom’s Presidential Election odds opened on PredictIt. He was listed at eight cents and has hovered around 8 to 10 cents ever since. The presidential odds are still dominated by Donald Trump’s odds, followed by Ron DeSantis’s odds and Joe Biden’s odds. Newsom’s insistence that he has no interest in […]
Why Election Betting Critics Oppose Political Betting
Election betting critics come from different places. Some opposition comes from the same resistance to online gambling that critics of online sports betting and online casinos espouse. But the cultural taboo surrounding betting on Midterm election odds or Presidential election odds adds uncertainty and unease that contrasts with attitudes toward sports betting. In August 2022, […]
53% of Sports Bettors More Likely to Vote in Election They Bet On
In a Bonus.com survey, 53% of American sports bettors said they would be more likely to vote in an election they bet on while 33% said they would not be more likely to vote on an election they bet on. The final 14% was unsure. Sports betting already engages bettors in games that fans may […]
Exclusive Survey: 52% of Sports Bettors Would Try Election Betting
In an August 2022 survey, Bonus.com found that 52% of respondents who identify as sports bettors or are interested in sports betting would bet on elections if election betting was legal. However, only 40% of respondents thought that election betting should be legal. Another 38% thought that election betting should remain illegal. The remaining portion […]
Kyrsten Sinema & Joe Manchin Vote with Biden over 90% of the Time
Kyrsten Sinema and Joe Manchin have made headlines for withholding votes from key Democratic bills, bills that may have shifted the odds for President in 2024 had they passed. In January 2022, their votes prevented filibuster rule changes, which prevents popular legislation from passing without a supermajority. (Passing unpopular bills in a gridlocked Congress is […]
Democrat Midterm Odds Improve with Policy & Economic Victories
Democrat midterm odds have improved in the 2022 Senate race. On August 4, odds on Democrat Senate and a Republican House rose above the odds of a Republican House and Senate. As of August 9, the PredictIt price of a Democrat Senate and a Republican House is 48 cents on PredictIt. The price of a […]
Three Ways That the Forward Party Can Get Their Ideas Into Power
On July 28, Andrew Yang announced his new political party, the Forward Party. It’s a merger of Democrat and Republican officials who are targeting “moderate” voters. The Forward Party platform emphasizes ranked-choice voting, non-partisan primaries, and independent redistricting commissions. These aren’t unique positions. Both the Utah Republican Party and the New York State have adopted […]
Republican Senate Midterm Odds Dip After Week of Political Developments
Around July 20, Republican Senate odds began to dip on PredictIt. The price fell from a high of 61 cents on July 20 to 58 cents on July 26. The rise in a Republican House and Democrat Senate prices began rising a few days earlier. It rose from 32 cents on July 17 to 36 […]
Trump Presidential Bid Could Outweigh Biden Approval Ratings
Economic challenges have created a major midterms obstacle for Democrats: low Biden approval ratings. While the United States isn’t the only country experiencing high inflation, it’s higher in the United States than other major economies. The $5 trillion stimulus package gave consumers money to spend during the early pandemic shutdowns. But American businesses were still […]
Why President Nixon’s False Election Fraud Claims Went Nowhere
Donald Trump is not the first president to peddle false election fraud claims. Richard Nixon nursed a grudge after his 1960 loss to John F. Kennedy. Nixon believed that Kennedy and the Democrats stole the election from him. However, Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson’s administrations weren’t haunted by election fraud claims. No crowd of Nixon supporters […]